THE infighting and strategic missteps wracking the MDC Alliance are once again coming to a head, with a worried insider telling the Daily News yesterday that the coalition was becoming “a Twitter party”.
In addition, the senior alliance official also lamented the
“undue” influence that a few “unelected people” — including “some
politically-naive academics and lawyers” were increasingly having on the
coalition’s leadership.
At the same time, political analysts warned yesterday that
if the MDC Alliance did not change course and recalibrate its strategies, it
risked being decimated by Zanu PF, by the time of the 2023 national elections.
This comes after former MDC senator for Zvishavane, and
member of the Alliance, Lillian Timveous, as well as Blessing Chebundo — a
former MP for Kwekwe Central — dumped the party, amid its ongoing senseless
bloodletting and name calling.
“While it’s hard to admit this, we are a party in crisis,
where we are specialising in fighting each other, rather than our real
political foes Zanu PF.
“And the other hard truth is that we are so lacking in
leadership, cohesion and effective strategies that we are now effectively a
Twitter party.
“The situation is not helped by the fact that there is
undue influence by a coterie of unelected people who include some
politically-naive academics and lawyers who are misadvising the party’s
leadership,” the senior MDC Alliance official told the Daily News.
Political analysts, including respected University of
Zimbabwe political science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure, described the move by
Timveous and Chebundo as “a godsend” for President Emmerson Mnangagwa and Zanu
PF.
“In Chebundo, we are talking about someone with real
political capital, having previously defeated Mnangagwa in the 2000 and 2005
parliamentary elections.
“So, it is a momentous development that will help the
incumbent to consolidate his power base in Midlands. It is normal that leaders
would want to build their power bases from their home provinces before
spreading their tentacles elsewhere.
“Mnangagwa wants to be seen as having united the people
from his home area to rally behind him after getting the likes of Timveous to
his side. It will work wonders for him,” Masunungure said.
The highly regarded political commentator also warned that
this latest development in the MDC could open floodgates for more defections to
the ruling party in the near future.
“The development will also send shock waves within the
opposition support base because it is a strategic issue, and there is likely
going to be continued migration to Zanu PF. There is therefore a need for
Nelson Chamisa to re-strategise to counteract that,” Masunungure added.
In November last year, Zanu PF also welcomed former
Masvingo Urban legislator, Tongai Matutu, to its ranks — with the former MP
also decrying the chaos ravaging the opposition.
Stephen Chan, a professor of World Politics at the
University of London’s School of Oriental and African Studies said with the
ructions that have consumed the MDC since the death of its founding leader
Morgan Tsvangirai in 2018, the current mass exodus of senior party officials
was not surprising.
“In a way, it’s only surprising that defections of this
sort haven’t happened earlier. As the opposition feuds within itself, and as
Zanu PF conducts a behind-the-scenes defection diplomacy, it is likely more
will defect in the future.
“There is prestige and funding available in politics. In
opposition politics, however, foreign funders are increasingly disillusioned by
the unending bitterness that the splits have engendered.
“It may be that Chamisa retains some viability as a
presidential candidate, more so than Douglas Mwonzora, but I foresee both MDCs
having a reduced place in Parliament after the next elections,” Chan said.
The question, he added, was what Zanu PF could offer
Zimbabweans having been emboldened by the disintegration of the opposition, as
well as what the agenda of the defectors was.
“In Singapore, with a dominant party state, the small
opposition being a decoration that proved democracy existed, the government
there became liberal in a whole raft of sectors that were not essential to its
survival and political prosperity.
“That was schizophrenia that nevertheless required a form
of pragmatic wisdom. I’m not sure, however, that Zimbabweans can expect that,”
Chan said.
On the other hand, senior consultant at the International
Crisis Group, Piers Pigou, said the defections were a reflection of the
politics of opportunism and survival that was inherent in the opposition
movement in Zimbabwe.
“Zanu PF obviously benefits from this in terms of
propaganda value, although it is hard to see this as a truly substantive ‘win’.
The politics and economy of the country remain polarised and broken.
“These members who have crossed the floor from opposition
formations to the ruling party do not appear to have done so on the basis of
principle or with the support of constituencies that voted for them.
“The optics do not look good for the opposition, losing
national executive members to the ruling party, especially in this context.
“They appear to be a further indication of the multiple
challenges and dysfunction that currently characterise opposition politics,”
Pigou said.
However, he criticised Mnangagwa for receiving Chebundo and
Timveous at State House “for what was essentially a party political defection
ceremony”.
When Matutu was also welcomed by Mnangagwa at State House,
he indicated that his coming to Zanu PF was a prelude to more MDC officials
joining the ruling party from the ever-squabbling opposition.
“At this point in time I am speaking on behalf of myself,
but I know there are so many other people who are waiting on the fence.
“Most of the MDC members are biblical lepers caught between
a rock and hard place on whether to remain there because ‘we are called MDCs by
the other party or if we go there we might be ill-treated on account of us
being political activists’.
“I would like to believe that if a sign or signal is given
that all is well and they are welcome, I can tell you that by 2023 there will
be an amazing number of people who will follow their conscience,” Matutu said
then.
He also accused the MDC of having lost its purpose as an
opposition party, adding that it was now a movement in disarray because of
constant bickering.
“I believe that there is very little that I can say that is
not in the public domain, especially in my former party in its various forms,
whether it’s MDC T or you call it MDC Alliance.
“I have taken this decision because I have done a very
serious introspection — a reflection of where we are coming from and where we
are going and also having considered the amount of time we have lost as a
nation and what we want to achieve as a people and especially as politicians.
“I believe for the party (MDC) it has really lost the real
purpose of its existence to exercise oversight over the ruling party.
“It is a party that has plunged into confusion and disarray
as far as it has placed the nation into an election mode,” Matutu said further.
Daily News
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