Here is my interpretation of yesterday ' s @SADC_News Troika Meeting not based on the minutes but based on an analysis of the current " atmospherics " obtaining inside the SADC troika club .
1. A deputation of representation by President of Namibia @hagegeingob and @SuluhuSamia of Tanzania completing the Troika chaired by @Hichilema of Zambia is not good sign for those reading too much into an anticipated SADC solution.
2. @HHichilema chairing Vice Presidents and officials means
a downgrade of Zimbabwe Polls issue to a routine report .
3. Liberation Parties solidarity may have won the day in
the charm offensive led by @edmnangagwa
himself in New York
. There was definitely a pushback in the bilaterals at @UN
GA . Picture
Mnangagwa paying a courtesy call on
Namibia President , at his Hotel Room . Clearly the stakes were high for
the mountain to visit Mohammed .
4. The strategy of buying time until the Zimbabwe Polls
dispute issue is stale and overtaken by
events may in the end prevail if there
is no fresh impetus from the people.
5. It will be assisted by a
business as usual approach and
a defacto sense of deja vu as Parliament
and Government gets down to five year
business . By the time Zimbabwe assumes Chairmanship of SADC the Polls
issue may be history
6. The only issue which may keep reminding people of
disputed elections will be a non performing economy. If Zanu PF Government gets it right by extension it will get the Government performance legitimacy . So Mnangagwa simply has to make the economy economy
work .
7. Zimbabweans cannot subcontract their disputes to SADC
which from history is a flat tyre unless there is renewed pressure from the
people . A very unlikely prospect .
8. Whilst Zimbabweans suffer from perpetual struggle fatigue so do those seeking to help , they simply back off
if abused unless encouraged by the energy of Zimbabweans themselves to have
their issues resolved, 2008 being manifest .
9. @ZANUPF_Official
is too strong for
the Region and its abrasive gun boat Zanufication diplomacy has seen even seemingly bigger
brothers turning into its " errand boys " twisted by anti sanctions
solidarity .
10. At the core of this strategy is a siege mentality presented to liberation movements that they face a collective and class existential threat from neoliberals and counter revolutionaries . The paradox is contemporary generations actually want to liberate themselves from the entitlement of yesteryear liberators and old Revolutions that have lost their way . Unfortunately for the young it is a tough fight against a club of incumbents whose parties are highly conflated with the State and it will take more than just zeal and courage but serious resources to undo this repression of black by black . It will take a new nationalist construct which these old Revolutionaries cannot conveniently smear as imperialist or neocolonial agents agendas . It is time to conceive home made solutions that cannot be faulted but identify with a people so in dire need of relief from the shackles of these old self serving liberators. He was writing on X
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